Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.022857 0.024558 0.026330 0.028316 0.030481 0.032773 0.035386
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019866 0.022290 0.024948 0.028087 0.031704 0.035754 0.040651
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018031 0.020898 0.024164 0.028179 0.033007 0.038659 0.045822
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016429 0.019533 0.023179 0.027807 0.033569 0.040562 0.049781
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015062 0.018292 0.022182 0.027256 0.033762 0.041909 0.053018
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014059 0.017396 0.021507 0.026999 0.034231 0.043548 0.056653
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013194 0.016599 0.020880 0.026724 0.034606 0.045025 0.060108
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012313 0.015718 0.020074 0.026138 0.034491 0.045792 0.062581
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.011859 0.015360 0.019920 0.026390 0.035500 0.048120 0.067378
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011344 0.014887 0.019575 0.026347 0.036071 0.049838 0.071374
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011003 0.014627 0.019497 0.026654 0.037138 0.052308 0.076639
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010504 0.014120 0.019047 0.026400 0.037357 0.053521 0.080032
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010084 0.013708 0.018714 0.026301 0.037807 0.055118 0.084168
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009616 0.013206 0.018228 0.025946 0.037843 0.056073 0.087328
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009304 0.012913 0.018025 0.025998 0.038498 0.058018 0.092245
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008902 0.012468 0.017579 0.025653 0.038502 0.058911 0.095427
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008484 0.011984 0.017051 0.025151 0.038221 0.059311 0.097761
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008166 0.011634 0.016708 0.024918 0.038353 0.060388 0.101356
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007864 0.011295 0.016366 0.024667 0.038437 0.061379 0.104848
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007510 0.010863 0.015864 0.024134 0.038017 0.061473 0.106673
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007363 0.010742 0.015836 0.024363 0.038892 0.063858 0.112981
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007159 0.010526 0.015650 0.024324 0.039298 0.065431 0.117836
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007040 0.010436 0.015658 0.024604 0.040269 0.068072 0.124989